Consumer Confidence Index

Details: Created: 06 May 2019

According to a nationally representative sample of 320 Georgians, interviewed in early April 2019, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) decreased by nearly two index points, from -18.9 in March to -20.8 in April. A similar pattern was observed in one of the sub-indices: the Expectations Index declined by 4.3 index points (from -14.1 to -18.4) compared to March, while the Present Situation Index experienced a slight improvement, by 0.3 index points (from -23.6 to -23.3). Table 1, displayed below, elucidates which particular questions were affected by various expectations and are responsible for the drop in the Expectations Index: in both expected inflation and expected unemployment.

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Details: Created: 14 April 2019

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According to a nationally representative sample of 339 Georgians interviewed in early March 2019, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) slightly improved by 0.3 index points, from -19.2 in February to -18.9 in March. A similar pattern was observed in both sub-indices: the Present Situation Index increased by 0.2 (from -23.8 to -23.6), and the Expectations Index by 0.4 index points (from -14.6 to -14.1) compared to February. It is worthwhile to mention that spring season seems to affect consumer confidence positively since 2015 (although data for April 2019 are not accessible yet).

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Details: Created: 12 March 2019

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According to a nationally representative sample of 341 Georgians interviewed in late February 2019, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) dropped by 1.7 index points, from -17.5 in January to -19.2 in February. This dip was driven by the Present Situation Index, which fell from -19.5 to -23.8. The Expectations Index instead rose by 2.9 index points (from -17.5 to -14.6) compared to January. Apparently, the end of the winter blues had a positive effect on Georgian consumers’ expectations about the future in a context in which the Present Situation Index deteriorated for the first time in three months.

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CCI Methodology

The ISET Consumer Confidence Survey follows the standard EU methodology (see Useful Links): we randomly sample 300-350 individuals on a monthly basis and question them about the past, current and future financial situation of their families and the country as a whole.Consumer confidence is the degree of optimism that consumers feel about the overall state of the economy and their personal financial situation. How confident people feel about stability of their incomes determines their spending activity and therefore serves as one of the key indicators for the overall shape of the economy. In essence, if consumer confidence is higher, consumers are making more purchases, boosting the economic expansion. On the other hand, if confidence is lower, consumers tend to save more than they spend, prompting the contraction of the economy. A month-to-month diminishing trend in consumer confidence suggests that in the current state of the economy most consumers have a negative outlook on their ability to find and retain good jobs. Read more