In June 2018, FRUIT prices continued their recent declining trend — the m/m change last month ...
Read moreაგროინდექსის უახლესი პუბლიკაციები
AGRIndex
Agri Review Index
Khachapuri Index
In June 2018, the AGRIndex declined by -2.54%. The main driver of this change was a -16.0% fall in V...
Read more
ენერგეტიკის ინდექსების უახლესი პუბლიკაციები
Electricity Market Review
Energy Market Review
მაკროეკონომიკის ინდექსების უახლესი პუბლიკაციები
Budget Execution Monitor
GDP Forecast
Macro Review
ISET-PI has begun publication of a new product – the Budget Execution Monitor (BEM). The goal of the BEM is to forecast revenues and expenditures of the general government of Georgia for the cu...
Read more
კერძო სექტორის ინდექსების უახლესი პუბლიკაციები
Business Confidence Index
Real Estate Laboratory
ISET-PI has updated its forecast of Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the October2015 releases of various economic indicators.
- We have recently updated the GDP series (the dependent variable in our model), using the revised GDP growth rates available from Geostat.
- Based on the new data, the forecast for GDP growth in the fourth quarter now stands at 3.5%.
- The annual growth rate for 2015 is still expected to be 2.9%.
- According to an early forecast for 2016, the growth rate in the first quarter of next year is predicted to be3.6%. Download the full report
ISET-PI has updated its forecast for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the September 2015 releases of various economic indicators.
- Geostat has released its preliminary estimates of GDP growth for the third quarter. The estimated Q3 growth is 2.5%, only 0.1 percentage point below the ISET-PI forecasted value.
- The forecast for GDP gorwth in the fourth quarter now stands at 3.6%.
- Based on the latest update, the annual growth for 2015 is expected to be 2.9%.
- According to an early forecast for 2016, the growth rate in the first quarter of next year is expected to be 2.8%. Download the full report
ISET-PI has updated its forecasts for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the April 2015 releases of various economic indicators.
• The growth forecast for the third quarter of 2015 has not changed since last month and remains at 2.6%.
• The first forecast for the fourth quarter growth of 2015 has been targeted at 3.8%.
• Based on the new forecast, the updated annual growth projection for 2015 is 2.9%.
ISET-PI has updated its forecasts for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the August 2015 releases of various economic indicators.
• The final growth forecast for the third quarter of 2015 has not changed significantly since last month (declining by only 0.02%) and remains at 2.6%.
• Similarly, the second growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2015 is still 3.8%.
• Based on our forecast, the annual growth for 2015 is expected to be 2.9%.
ISET-PI has updated the forecast for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the June 2015 releases of various economic indicators.
• The growth forecast for the third quarter of 2015 was revised significantly downward to low signle digits, and is now targeted at 2.6%
• Given the newly revised Q3 forecast, the annual growth in 2015 is expected to be 2.6% in the worst-case, or “no growth” scenario, and 3% in the best-case, or “average long-term growth” scenario (see our January 2014 and February 2014 publications for a note on methodology).
The significant downward revision of Q3 forecast comes as no surprise after the underwhelming growth results for Q2 were officially released by Geostat.
Our Partners
